Issues with 5 and 15 years charts

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salix1974
 
Posts: 1
Joined: Sat Aug 11, 2018 6:01 pm

Issues with 5 and 15 years charts

by salix1974 » Mon May 27, 2019 5:39 pm

Hello Everybody, my name is Maurizio and i have a little question about the 5 and 15 years charts.
Often i try to buy spreads before season start, nearby the highest/lowest part of graph and often this strategy in profitable but during this 2 weeks i’ve seen an all new fact.
5 and 15 years line seems to adapt to the actually price trend.. How this is possible if the statistic can’t change?
I try to explain my problem with this pics.
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Mira
 
Posts: 41
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 12:59 pm

Re: Issues with 5 and 15 years charts

by Mira » Mon May 27, 2019 9:17 pm

Please read this article https://www.seasonalgo.com/seasonal-patterns
There is all described. You can't use seasonal pattern in absolute values, never use seasonal patterns for TP, SL levels determination.

The normalized seasonal patterns give you a highlight about direction.

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