Futures Spread Strategy For August, 2015 - Buy GOX15-GOZ15

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Futures Spread Strategy For August, 2015 - Buy GOX15-GOZ15

This futures spread combines several conditions to create good trading opportunity.

  • 95% Win in last 20 years
  • Seasonal patterns correlation over 91%
  • Spread moves in a narrow range
  • Possible to entry at support and use a small stop-loss
  • Low margin requirements
  • Narrow legs spread with expected lower volatility

Backtest Buy GOX15-GOZ15 Entry: 2015-08-04 Exit: 2015-10-21

Years# Win% Win# Loss# APW% Days# APPD PF SL RRR ProfitØ DDØ WinØ LossØ BestØ WorstØ Total Profit Profit Loss SL ProfitØ
5 100% 5 0 40% 79 7.47 9999 300.00 6.00 590.00 -315.00 590.00 0.00 660.00 -110.00 2950.00 2950.00 0.00 50.00
10 100% 10 0 50% 79 5.44 9999 325.00 5.84 430.00 -517.50 477.78 0.00 642.50 -110.00 4300.00 4300.00 0.00 175.00
15 100% 15 0 47% 79 5.44 9999 375.00 4.91 430.00 -495.00 460.71 0.00 630.00 -128.33 6450.00 6450.00 0.00 300.00
20 95% 19 1 65% 79 4.48 142.50 375.00 5.06 353.75 -442.50 395.83 -25.00 550.00 -108.75 7075.00 7125.00 -50.00 300.00
30 83% 25 5 67% 79 2.90 5.44 375.00 2.95 229.17 -412.50 351.04 -258.33 451.67 -153.33 6875.00 8425.00 -1550.00 375.00
34 82% 28 6 65% 79 2.63 5.29 625.00 2.45 208.09 -403.68 323.15 -235.71 413.24 -168.38 7075.00 8725.00 -1650.00 375.00
Equity for backtest
Year Enter date Enter price Exit date Exit price Points Profit Days# Best Date Best Worst Date Worst Drawdown
2014 2014-08-04 -1.25 2014-10-21 -0.75 0.50 50.00 79 2014-10-21 50.00 2014-09-24 -300.00 -300.00
2013 2013-08-05 3.50 2013-10-21 7.00 3.50 350.00 78 2013-08-29 375.00 2013-09-24 -150.00 -525.00
2012 2012-08-06 3.75 2012-10-19 15.75 12.00 1200.00 75 2012-10-19 1200.00 2012-08-13 -50.00 -150.00
2011 2011-08-04 -0.25 2011-10-21 11.75 12.00 1200.00 79 2011-10-14 1275.00 - 0.00 -350.00
2010 2010-08-04 -4.00 2010-10-21 -2.50 1.50 150.00 79 2010-10-04 400.00 2010-08-11 -50.00 -250.00
2009 2009-08-04 -8.50 2009-10-21 -6.50 2.00 200.00 79 2009-08-25 225.00 2009-09-10 -25.00 -250.00
2008 2008-08-04 -7.25 2008-10-21 0.25 7.50 750.00 79 2008-09-24 900.00 2008-10-10 -175.00 -1075.00
2007 2007-08-06 -3.00 2007-10-19 -1.00 2.00 200.00 75 2007-09-10 750.00 2007-10-12 -25.00 -775.00
2006 2006-08-04 -7.50 2006-10-20 -5.50 2.00 200.00 78 2006-10-11 375.00 2006-09-14 -325.00 -625.00
2005 2005-08-04 -5.75 2005-10-21 -5.75 0.00 0.00 79 2005-09-01 875.00 - 0.00 -875.00
2004 2004-08-04 6.75 2004-10-21 18.50 11.75 1175.00 79 2004-10-21 1175.00 2004-08-31 -300.00 -375.00
2003 2003-08-04 2.25 2003-10-21 5.00 2.75 275.00 79 2003-10-10 425.00 2003-09-19 -375.00 -400.00
2002 2002-08-05 -0.75 2002-10-21 1.00 1.75 175.00 78 2002-09-23 300.00 - 0.00 -250.00
2001 2001-08-06 0.25 2001-10-19 1.75 1.50 150.00 75 2001-09-14 375.00 2001-09-25 -150.00 -525.00
2000 2000-08-04 2.75 2000-10-20 6.50 3.75 375.00 78 2000-09-12 750.00 - 0.00 -700.00
1999 1999-08-04 -0.25 1999-10-21 0.75 1.00 100.00 79 1999-09-09 250.00 - 0.00 -250.00
1998 1998-08-04 -3.00 1998-10-21 -2.75 0.25 25.00 79 1998-09-18 125.00 1998-10-09 -100.00 -225.00
1997 1997-08-04 -1.00 1997-10-21 -1.50 -0.50 -50.00 79 1997-08-05 100.00 1997-09-15 -125.00 -225.00
1996 1996-08-05 1.50 1996-10-21 6.50 5.00 500.00 78 1996-10-03 825.00 1996-08-09 -25.00 -500.00
1995 1995-08-04 -1.25 1995-10-20 -0.75 0.50 50.00 78 1995-09-04 250.00 - 0.00 -225.00
1994 1994-08-04 -2.25 1994-10-21 -1.50 0.75 75.00 79 1994-08-12 75.00 1994-09-26 -50.00 -125.00
1993 1993-08-04 -2.25 1993-10-21 0.25 2.50 250.00 79 1993-10-14 250.00 1993-09-01 -25.00 -75.00
1992 1992-08-04 -1.50 1992-10-21 -2.00 -0.50 -50.00 79 - 0.00 1992-08-26 -125.00 -125.00
1991 1991-08-05 -0.25 1991-10-21 -0.75 -0.50 -50.00 78 1991-08-19 175.00 1991-08-08 -125.00 -300.00
1990 1990-08-06 1.50 1990-10-19 5.00 3.50 350.00 75 1990-10-12 950.00 1990-09-04 -200.00 -600.00
1989 1989-08-04 -0.75 1989-10-20 2.75 3.50 350.00 78 1989-10-17 450.00 1989-08-07 -50.00 -125.00
1988 1988-08-04 -0.75 1988-10-21 -1.50 -0.75 -75.00 79 1988-08-05 25.00 1988-08-30 -200.00 -225.00
1987 1987-08-04 -2.00 1987-10-21 -1.50 0.50 50.00 79 1987-08-26 100.00 1987-08-07 -150.00 -175.00
1986 1986-08-04 9.00 1986-10-21 -4.25 -13.25 -1325.00 79 - 0.00 1986-10-07 -1450.00 -1450.00
1985 1985-08-05 -0.50 1985-10-21 1.75 2.25 225.00 78 1985-10-02 525.00 1985-08-06 -50.00 -325.00
1984 1984-08-06 -2.50 1984-10-19 -3.50 -1.00 -100.00 75 - 0.00 1984-08-17 -175.00 -175.00
1983 1983-08-04 -3.00 1983-10-21 -1.00 2.00 200.00 79 1983-10-20 200.00 1983-09-15 -125.00 -300.00
1982 1982-08-04 -1.00 1982-10-21 -0.25 0.75 75.00 79 1982-10-21 75.00 1982-09-06 -625.00 -675.00
1981 1981-08-04 -2.75 1981-10-21 -2.50 0.25 25.00 79 1981-10-16 225.00 1981-08-11 -200.00 -200.00